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Mega won by 17 goals when these teams met in the first part of the season. Metalac were in excellent shape back then, Mega in a poor form (4 defeats in the previous 5 games. Both teams underwent some changes since, acquire new centers, but the momentum at he moment calls for betting on Mega. Milojevic has a team that played close games with Zvezda, Cedevita, and Partizan the last rounds. Those are the top teams in the league. Zagorac took a shot for three in the Cup final against Zvezda in the very end of the game and missed to allow the opponents to win. They beat Cedevita in Zagreb without Miljenovic and they played last a close game with Partizan last round without Zagorac. They are supposed to be complete today and that makes then a much better team than Metalac in my opinion. Valjevo are in decline form-wise, they were badly defeated to Zvezda without Williams and Marjanovic, played a few consecutive bad games. Their last home game (Cibona) was horrible. They won but probably still wonder how. I cannot agree with them being favorites in such circumstances. Details

Cilic said he's never gone this long without playing. Even when he was suspended, he was able to practice. The shoulder has kept him off the court since London. That's a very long period of time, most of which he spent in physical therapy. Monaco is a trick opponent since he doesn't make many mistakes and he's at his top level now. He's been doing good this season, with the Buenos Aires final providing him with a lot of confidence. Even though he struggled in the first round, his confidence got his through. He managed to make a comeback after the Russian covered a break point in the third set. A few months ago, Monaco would have lost such a match. Cilic has had a long break, got back to playing only recently and Monaco is the kind of a player who can take advantage of that since he knows how to punish opponents' mistakes. Marin said he needs a few matches to find rhythm again, which he will do, of course, but not before Miami. Details

If Polten didn't acquire the new goal keeper Vran and thus put more emphasis on defense, this margin would have made sense to some extent. But, given the current situation, it seems way too high. While both matches in the first part of the season finished at 60 goals, the first one this year finished at 51, making it very clear what kind of consequences will the change in Polten's game style have. The visitors proved that that game was no exception against Schwatz, who are style-wise closer to Linz than any other team in the league. That game finished at 43 goals. Both coaches are calling for focus in defense today, meaning we shouldn't expect either team to play fast-paced game. Especially not Linz, who like battles of defenses. In accordance to that, this should finish at some 50 goals if the goal keepers have an average performances. Better performances could see this end like Polten's match with Schwatz. Details

After Narbonne's defeat last night, Nantes have a huge chance to get out of the danger zone, and if they lose, they're likely leave Ligue A. Chaumont's form is getting worse, they basically lost all chance to get to the playoff, and I'm convinced that the home team are much more motivated. Nantes played better regardless of being without Skladany, the players got their confidence back, and they simply have to win tonight. A lot can be said about this duel, but it all comes down to Nantes having to win if they have to stay in the league. They finally found some resemblance of form, and Chaumont's is getting worse, so they'll use that tonight. Details

This game is not very important result-wise since neither of the team are in danger zone nor have realistic chances of making it into Europa League this season. They need a long winning streak in the end to do that.
All the prerequisites for a carefree, offense-oriented game are therefore met. Cambuur lost 1-6 to Zwolle last round, while Utrech got crushed against AZ 6-2.
Cambuur will be very eager to make amends home while Utrech play offensive-oriented game everywhere. Their goal difference is 47-47 at the moment. Cambuur has three overs home in the last 5 games, Utrech 8 out of the last 10 games away. The h2h this season ended 3-1 for Cambuur, the one last season 3-1 for them in Leeuwarden. There will be quite a lot of these kind of bets as the season comes to its end when teams normally playing offense-oriented game play without objectives-
I think this game will end with a total of at least 3 goals, maybe with even more if you are ready to take more risk with higher odds. Details

Goppingen didn't get a win since the end of November last year, and broke that dry spell with a win in Berlin last week, 28-24. The home team, Celle, are under even more pressure, with eight defeats in a row. This match means a lot for both teams, and their final placement at the end of the season. The first duel they played in Goppingen this season ended 25-24 for Celle. Both teams play similar handball, spend a lot of energy in the defense, and don't force fastbreaks. Celle's offense is convincingly the worst one of the league.
We'll certainly see under 50 goals today. Goppingen have five injured players, and only 10 players were in the roster in the last two matches. Most of them play both sides for over 55 minutes, the best scorer Nicole Dinkel spent 58 minutes on the court in the last match against Fuchse. Two out of five best scorers are on the injured list, Maike Daniels and Beate Scheffknecht. They scored 10 in the first match against Celle. Tonight's match is important, so the tradition shows that three out of the last four ended under the offered margin, and with the trend they're currently in, Celle have five unders in the last five matches, Goppingen four out of five, so there's plenty of arguments as to why this match will end at least 2-3 goals under the margin. Details

Wiesbaden was better than Potsdam both times this season. They finished in spot 4, the visitors in 5 but Wiesbaden had 11 points and 4 wins more in regular season. Many imagined they would finish as a Top 3 team but they fell short of the expectation a bit. Playoffs are the chance to reach their goals and the home arena might play the key role in this QF match. I think Wiesbaden are a better-quality team. They are known for preparing well for the big matches, that is after all one of coach Vollmer specialties. They are complete while Potsdam can't count on top setter Carraro. Rivero is only getting bad after an injury meaning that Wiesbaden are better prepared and complete ahead of the match. They won the last 5 head-to-head matches, this and last season in straight sets home. I think they will win again, in straight sets or with 3-1. They beat Potsdam in only 70 minutes three weeks ago. Details

Hannover were decimated and still able to stay close to Magdeburg for about 40 minutes in an away match and then played a 25-25 draw in Magdeburg. Things should be different today because they will be virtually complete, meaning back players Christophersen, Mirkulovski, Ševaljevićem, Kárason, and Häfner will be at coach's disposal, which is better than what home team have I think. Szilagy, the top player at Bergischer is questionable. Hannover won the last three head-to-head games and I think this one will be a close game in which i think they have a good shot at emerging undefeated. Pinnacle offers void for a defeat by one goal, while local Croatian bookies offer +1.5 handicap. Bergischer are great home this season, they beat some great teams but also lost to Friesenheim, Lubbecke, played a draw with Goppingen, barely beat Minden and Gummersbach (by two goals). Hannover's motivation is running high, they were clearly resting Hafner for this match that marks a start of a very important part of the season for them and it won't be as weird if Christophersen plays as well. Details

This is one of those matches for players with lots of experience, those who can handle pressure, and Vardar have plenty of those. From both goalies, Suslina and Leynaud, to the team brain Andreja Lekić, the scorer Penezić and wings Radičević, Dembela, Sokac (Zebić), and all the rest. They all have plenty of very important games in their career, and I don't doubt they'll be fully motivated today. Dynamo did crush them in the first match, but that was one of the worst, if not the worst performance by this new Vardar. Most of the players literally just paraded around and waited for the match to end. It's completely different today, they've got the home court, they're readier both tactically and physically, and the Dane Pytlick joined Indira on the bench. As her closest assistant, there will obviously be changes in the rotation, they'll be asking for time-outs in the right moment, and influence the players the right way.
Another fact important for this pick is that the Russian teams traditionally have a harder time in away matches, so with all that said, there might be 8-9 goals difference in the final result, perhaps more likely 5-6. Details

These two teams play similar basketball, and both are aware they won't do much more this season. They won't get to the playoff or be eliminated from the league. Oviedo play the fastest basketball in the second league. They had smaller numbers in the first duel against Huesca, but that was a faster match where both were close to 70 points from the court, it's just that it wasn't a good day for the three-pointers. The stakes are much smaller today. Oviedo are too far behind the ninth place, and can hardly expect to get to the playoff, while Huesca jumped away from the last place with their last win. The guests' coach clearly said he expects them to play more relaxed and free today. Oviedo had about 160 points total per match in the last ten rounds, they went over 150 against the defensively oriented Palencia, Navarra, Breogan, and even Lleida. Huesca play at 150 points in the away matches, but we should point out they had problems with the injuries for most of the season. They're complete now and they stayed under 150 only once in the last six duels, against RIncon who are struggling to stay in the league. All in all, there are only a few teams in the Spanish second league who give advantage to the offense over the defense, and Oviedo and Huesca are both in that group. Details

According to Alba's sports director, Mithat Demirel, the Berliners should play without Hammonds, Tabu, McLean and Radošević today. That's a big problem, especially for the home team's offensive game. The margin set at 150 points seems like it wasn't assessed based on the current situation in both teams. Trier will probably be without their best scorer Harris today, and they're the weakest club in the league offensively anyway. They won't change anything today, and will try to slow things down as much as possible. Trier didn't fare well in the duels against the strongest German teams lately. They only had 51 points in Munchen (51-92), and lost 44-84 to Brose. Alba's defense is one of the best ones in the league. We can't expect Trier to play the offense much, but considering the home team's problems and the guests' game style, the Berliners will hardly reach their league average. Alba didn't have much time to get ready after the defeat in Madrid. The quality is definitely on the home team's side, but even in the case of blowout, I think the margin set is high enough, like it was in Trier's defeats in Munchen and Bamberg. Details

Thun are definitely the most powerful home team of the Swiss league. It's common knowledge that a pretty rough game is allowed in their arena, and they're using it the best way possible. In 12 home matches this season, they got 12 wins. Thun didn't take a point from this arena since December 2011. They got eight defeats in the away matches played there since, and that series will probably continue. A few of the guest players came down with something, and even when they're completely healthy, the Otmar can't really rotate much. Everything will depend on their starters today, and their pivot and the first right wing aren't playing as well as expected. Otmar didn't gt a win in circumstances like those even at home against Kriens, and this challenge is much more demanding. Thun are a better team in general, and when they get a home court advantage, that means a mission impossible for the guests this season. Details

I think that with these odds, the guests' win simply has to be taken. St. Etienne had a bad series, absences' issues, but that's coming to an end. They finally got a win in the last round, and will be in a good mood for this away match. There are still some absences, but St. Etienne are slowly becoming complete. The home team aren't at the bottom of the league table by accident. Many have already written them off, and only a miracle could save them now. They managed to get four ties since November 1st, they lose at home regularly, and have nothing to hope for today. I expected the odds on the guests' win to be much smaller, so this was a nice surprise. The guests are the fifth and are one of the candidates for Europe, and if they want to get that, they have to win matches like these. Details

Out of all teams in the first league, Apollon's numbers and style are in the biggest disproportion. It's not realistic for this team to score under 70 per game, considering their fast game, lots of shots from the field, and the most three-pointer attempts in the league. Still, the Greek league is full of defensively oriented teams, and those matches mean lower averages. That's not the case today. Relying on backcourt shot often costs them, but this team have quality for sure, and I think they're better than Trikala. Apollon could show offensive progress today, since Trikala are pretty humble defensively, and force a fast game at home. Their game against Olympiacos ended at 190, Panathinaikos at almost 170. Almost all the teams scored over 80 on Trikala's court. Trikala conceded under this margin only once in the last 13, against Panionios who have problems of their own. Forcing fast game could end up with 65-70 shots from the field, which should suit Apollon, and pass this margin even with lower percentages. Apollon had 81 against Rethymno, a fast team with strong defense, with only 10 in the last period. Considering the debacle against AEK a week ago, I expect Apollon to be especially motivated. That means they'll be much more efficient tonight, and confirm they're a better team than the home team. Details

Olimpija are no Maribor, and the absence of four starters will definitely show. Their best forward Šporar is out, too. This is their third consecutive home match, and they only got one point from the first two, so there will be a lot of pressure. A win would help them join the top teams. Gorica aren't brilliant, but they will bunker up in Ljubljana, and try to threaten from the counter attacks. They're complete, and proved they know how to face Olimpija in the last years. They didn't lose there for the last six matches. Details

Clezar is the kind of a player who either does brilliantly or horribly. There is no middle ground with him. He's been doing great here in Santiago to advance to semifinals quite easily. He didn't lose a single service game against Hernendez and Arguello and then beat a Top 100 player Gonzalez. He is not a typical clay-specialists as he good serve and likes to dictate the game with his forehand shots. He's aggressive and the majority of his defeats are down to him, not caused by opponents great game. That means that when he's doing good like here, it's a good option to bet on him. Gonzalez has better quality but that doens't means he's invincibly. Clezar can stand up to him. Gonzalez could have just as easily lost him match yesterday in straight sets. Clezar played the Challenger Finals last season even though he had less defeats than wins. He is either losing to players of questionable quality or beating Top 100 players. The semifinal here suggests he is in the latter mode. He will sand a chance today, Gonzalez is only consistent, while Clezar had the upper hand in everything else. If he keeps the game from earlier this week up, I think he stand a chance of winning. I don't think Gonzalez will win this easily, especially not against Clezar when is doing this well. Details

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