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Burgos lined up nine victories and nobody in the 2nd Spanish league plays offense as well as they do lately. They averaged 84 during that period, scored close to 90 at home, and played games at about 155 points. They also play very good defense, but I believe a solid offense will be sufficient today. Clavijo are a team with a very fast pace, and coach Perez always says he wants the team to score 80ish points as he knows their defense won't get them the win. The away team are relaxed as they cannot get to the playoff, but cannot get relegated either. This allowed them to play a 176 point game against defensively focused Valladolid in the last round, as well as win 95-89 against the defensively strongest team in the league,Palencia. For Burgos this match is similar to the one they recently played against Oviedo, where they won 109-64. Clavijo are a run'n'gun team, like Oviedo, and Burgos can always run with the faster pace and take advantage of it. The first match these teams played this season wend close to 160, while they went over this margin in both playoff matches last season. Details

Roanne proved how powerful they are when nearly complete last round when playing great defense and crushing Souffel to only 39 points! This round, they will be able to count on center Jackson again. That means Brouillaud's team will be complete for the first time since December. I don't expected them to annihilate Denain like Souffel, of course, but they should be able to cover this narrow handicap. They beat Denain by 11 points in the first h2h away, in the Leaders Cup second-leg game away by five points. I don't think they will repeat the mistakes from Leaders Cup first leg game when hey lost by 7 points home. Roanne's confidence is running high and they should be able to get back at the opponents who lost by 7 and 11 points home in the league: Before crushing Bouzalac home, they were on a 5-game losing run. Denain lost 5 out of the last 6 games home, convincing this margin only against Saint-Quentin away (lost by two points). Details

A duel of two typical run'n'gun teams, with no real centers, who've already proven they suit each other in style in their previous two matches this season, and I see no reason for them to give up on that today. Limburg were in crisis, caused mostly by injuries, but their roster is full now, which allowed them to average 86 or more points in regular time in their last five matches, and they have also never conceded less than 81, allowing their opponents to score much more most of the time. They're relaxed, having secured the playoff, and one can tell from the way they're playing. Their last round match against Oostende ended at 175, the one against Antwerp the round before was at 180 in 40 minutes, vs Brussels at 176, against Liege at 178, and against Leuven at 176. Okapi might not have the same form they started the season with lately, but games against Mons, Spirou and Oostende are hardly a proper benchmark. They played twice against Limburg this season, and both teams shot about 70ish attempts and between 20 and 30 free throws in both matches (total in the first was 191, in the second 173). This is nothing strange having in mind their style and short possessions. One can expect something similar today. Details

There are a few reasons why I believe this bet is worth taking. Batista is definitely one of the most important players in his team. Lots of possessions go through him while he is on court, and offensively he is one of the best centers in the Euroleague. He does especially well when PAO play at home, scoring double digits in eight of their nine games in Athens. he showed how dangerous he is by scoring 15 in the first match in Madrid. However, by far the most important argument in favor of this bet is Real's defense on opposing team's centers. Some may have missed it, but the opposing centers score by far the most points against Real. On one hand their centers are defensively weak (Bouroussis, Ayon, even Mejri), on the other the guards don't help as they're pushing their counterparts aggressively. This allowed Marjanović, Schortsanitis, even Javtokas to score big against Real, as well as Sevilla's youngsters Hernangomez and Balvin last weekend. In a game as important as this, at home where he plays 50% better, Batista simply must score double digit figures. Details

I cannot ignore Ugra's great form and I simply cannot miss out on this bet. Belgorod beat Kuzbass in quarterfinals but their game is still short of impressive. Travica is questionable for today, there's no info on his comeback and Ugra usually give them problem. The Siberian team got a set in 6 out of the last 8 games, with only three finishing in 5 sets. Ugra crushed Lokomotiv in both quarterfinal games, they are bursting with confidence, aren't under any pressure and that is a great combination of things for our bet. Both games in the season finished with Belgorod winning in 4 sets and Ugra are now in far better form, while the home team are no longer as good. Details

Betting against Arizona will be popular in the final part of the season and when they meet a team in great form or the one that cannot afford to lose these kind of games, I definitely will not be missing out on those bets. Colorado are fighting for a wildcard in the West but the competition if fierce and they are facing a tough, but feasible task. But, in order to reach the goal, they absolutely need to winning these kind of games. Arizona are horrible to say least. They have 15 defeats in the last 16 games, having scored only 5 goals on the current five-game losing run. They traded their two top players, Hanzal is injured and the rest of the games they will play will be only about getting the season to its end. Colorado are doing great lately, I daresay Ottawa and them are in best form now. They won 5 out of the last 6 games and not against easy opponents (Pittsburgh, Minnesota away, and Calgary last round, all of which are better than Arizona). A month ago, Colorado beat Arizona 5-2 home and I expected them to win today as well. They got form, motivation and everything else going for them, with the home arena being of no help for Arizona. They lost 13 out of the last 14 games here, 11 in regulation time. Details

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