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A defeat in the League Cup is not the best opening of this month that will probably decide Porto's season. They will have two matches with Bayern and the derby match with Benfica coming up (could settle the title race). Porto are normally very good at bouncing back following defeats, which is another reason to believe in them. They are 9-0-0 here since mid-December, having conceded only 2 goals, both in League Cup in which the coach used reshuffled lineups. Estoril are bringing an below average season to an end. They have not won the last 8 rounds, despite meeting two bottom tables teams home. Many players from previous seasons are no longer at Estroil, which resulted in this bad season. They never get defense-oriented and attempt to break down opponent's game and won't do it today either. They will drown in their own pace if they open too fiercely and they really don't have a good shot at keeping Porto, who are on an 9-game home winning run. Estoril didn't concede only once away this season, this bet was successful in their away games with Benfica and Sporting and should go tonight as well. Especially since Porto didn't have and don't have a CL game coming up next. What they have is definitely motivation. Details

It may not be logical to be writing a tip at a player who had 3 straight wins but I think these odds were set as if they are meeting on red clay. These conditions suit Ajla, which she confirmed last season by reaching round of 16. She moves well on this clay and I think she can develop her aggressive game in those conditions. Dulgheru is playing in these conditions for the first time and she will definitely struggle with adjustment. More passive players don't do well here, which is Alexandra will a have tough time defending against Ajla. Her serves are bad too and she doesn't not deserve to be a favorite to this level. I have to go with counter-handicap even in this situation when Ajla is a on a 3-match losing run and low on confidence. I'm sure she'll do her best in these conditions. Details

Neither of these teams have a single win so far. Bulgria managed to get a point against Turkey while Romania still have no points, meaning that this is the key match for both teams. They have something to fight for still, regardless of the two defeats because the top 6 teams will secure a spot in the next WC. Bulgaria lost to Germany yesterday in three sets, having played a pretty bad game to show how limited they are. There are also rumors that some players are on the team not because they are the best ones but because they certain names. Romania are much better than the 0-2 so far suggests. They lost three out of the total of 6 points narrowly and two others after a great fight as a consequence of the lack of mental toughness, not the lack of quality. I don't think they will get a better chance for a win because Bulgaria have nothing to stand up to Romania today. The only segment of the game in which Bulgaria are better are errors (they have less than Romania). Romania won easily in straight sets last season at Balkans Championship. I wasn't very successful when it came to tips at this championship but I cannot miss out on this since the odds are completely off. The less brave among you can try the handicap at Romania for higher stake but I'm taking their win because it's more widely available. I expected Romania's win to be priced at 1.60 or 1.75 at the highest. Shops offer even higher odds. Details

I saw Mathias last season and he's not even close to Daniel's quality-level, which is why I don't understand why bookies value him so much. I would personally set the odds at Daniel's win at 1.4. He feels great, his form is improving and a lot can still be expected from him. He's mentally and physically tougher than Mathias. When it comes to shots, neither player has the upper level but when it comes to court and ball perception, Daniel is more superior. He is really a higher level and I think he should be able to win. Any other outcome would be a huge surprise. Details