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I went with this tip recently when these teams met in the Cup and it was not successful. Result-wise it wasn't really close as it finished at 1-0 but given the attempts created, there are regrets, especially for Nacional, who had a huge number of attempts. If they do that again today, there should be no problems. Everything I said back then goes for this game too because Nacional are in the same kind of form, while Sporting's defense still doesn't seem good. Nacional played all Top 4 teams in the last 15 games and scored against each except in the Cup second leg. This game is not as important for Sporting and I expect them to be under no pressure and if teams from the bottom part of the table can score against them, why wouldn't Nacional do the same. Defense is the biggest problem at Sporting because they conceded as many goals as Benfica and Porto combined. The previous games are no exception. Sporting have been conceding goals for the last 5 rounds, while Nacional scored in the last 8 away games. Defensive midfielders are out on both teams, which is good for this bet as well. The home team will probably have an offensive-oriented formation with two strikers, two wingers and no defensive midfielders. We are to expect an open game and goals today. Details

Biella's coach Corbani said that they are not the same team they were two months ago and they are now more for finishing with 70 than 90 points. The reason for it is clear - Voskuil is gone, their key defense figure. Raymond is the only one left and he will now be back after having to travel to the States to attend the funeral of a family member. We need to see how much that would affect him but at least the long trip has to leave some trace. Monferrato are the second best defense in regular season, having been limiting the opponents to 68.4 per game. They will not back down from that now that the playoffs start. The stakes are high and on top of that, this is a regional derby. These two teams met 5 times in the last 6 seasons to finish at 147, 165 (2011/12), 131, 142 (2013/14) i 148, 140 points (2014/15). I don't expect more than 140 points today, especially because Monferrato didn't play for three weeks and I expect them to turn to defense more and Beilla don't have Voskuil, which makes them much less dangerous. If you think this will go into overtime, the shops offer that bet as well. Details

This could have been the game to decide the last team that will reach playoffs but everything is clear after Brussels lost to Pepinster on Wednesday. Neither of these teams are to reach playoffs and this game will be just a farewell to the season. There should be no pressure on either tam and that should result in an attractive game. Brussels and Willebroek met three times this season, Willebroek won the first one 96-91, while Brussels won the second one 95-86. Ten days ago the met again for Willebroek to win again, this time 99-82. Productive games are no surprise when it comes to these two teams. They both prefer the run-and-gun style, short attacks, lots of possessions, and about 70-80 shots from the floor. Given the circumstances, it's hard to find a reason why this shouldn't be similar to that game. They should not finish with less point than their h2h averages this season. Details

Nantes finished regular season in spot 5 (on a 4-5-5 record home) and reached playoffs with two wins in the last rounds. Their goals have been achieved and, as they say, there's no pressure in the quarterfinals as they have nothing to lose. Nimes finished regular season in spot 4, 4 points ahead of Nantes. They played their 4th French Cup final and failed to win it for the 4th time. After a 24-24 thriller in regulation time, Metz did better in a penalty shootout. Nanets and Nimes met twice this season, each team won away (Nantes -Nimes 26-27, Nimes-Nantes 33-37). Nimes have since acquired on of the the best middle backs in France Pineau, who played at Krim in Champions League for a few months this season after leaving Vardar. On the other hand, Nantes have only one goal keeper for these playoffs (Lafurnete from Spain). Subsitite goal keeper Obein got injured a week ago and will miss the rest of the season. Obein was the started at first but Lafuente took over in the second part of the season. Numes have league's top scorer Chebbah (150 goals), the well experienced right back Ayglon and Danetter, and Jericek from Slovenia. At Nantes, the back line is the best part of the team. There are two Serbians there, among others, which I see as a chance for Nimes since they have Serbia's former junior goal keeper Colic on the goal. Colic is doing great in the second part of the season (17 saves against Metz in Cup final). She knows the two most important players at Nantes very well, which is enough for me to believe Nimes are closer to QF in this match. Details

I know it's not typical in any kind of playoffs finale to offer such a bet, but rarely has anyone been such a favorite in this phase of the competition such as Novara are against Casalmaggiore who physically and mentally broke down in the semi-final series against Conegliana, and the job was finished this Wednesday after more than two hours of battling. Simply put, it's hard to imagine Mazzanti's team having prepared in two days for this match, and on the other hand Novara had a whole week to bring themselves in the best shape possible. Taking into consideration Pedulla's experience, he probably hit that shape good.
The proof for that are their editions in semi-finals, where they dealt with Piacenza without much trouble. In two home matches they practically toyed aroud with them. Casalmaggiore will probably put up a bigger fight, but all in all I think 3-0 is the most realistic outcome, and with such odds it's worth to try it out. Details

I rarely do overs on games in the Spanish league and Copa del Rey, but today I simply have to do it. Although it's for the trophy and the defenses will be motivated to the max, I thinks offenses will be the main weapons. Marfil are known as an "over" team who don't pay attention how to secure their goal, but more how to jeopardize their opponents'. They also have one of the best scorers of LNFS in history. Dani Salgado, who often very "loosely" considers his defense tasks and remains in the opponents' offside, waiting for a counteratack. For the whole season Marfil have been playing like that and I don't see a reason for them to change that in a match for the champion's title of Copa del Rey. Although the law of high numbers suggests that Marfil have to end at least one match with an under for this margin, I think their offensive power will take the lead in this finals, and I'm not scared for Inter Movistar. Richardinho and company guarantee at least three to four goals in this match. Details

This is the last chance for Celle to stay in Bundesliga. After a 13-game losing run, Celle are the bottom-table team with eight points. Despite that, there are still chances that they stay in the league. The defeat series was started with none other but their today's opponents. In that match Celle held the lead for a long time (13-11 at half- time), and the home Bad Wildungen took the lead in 50th minute and won in the last five minutes (26-24). Today they're without pressure since their stay in the league is guaranteed.
Celle are now stronger for the left wing Dybul who didn't play in the first head-to-head, while their best scorer Vershuren has the flu. Bad Wildungen won in the first head-to-head thanks to their best player Vasilescu who scored 14 goals at the time (she's the best scorer of the league with 186 goals). Vasilescu and Van Gulik are two best scorers of Wildungen. They're also former Celle players. Celle will probably prepare their defense a bit better. Another interesting connection are Roben sisters - Jolanda plays for Celle and Miranda for Wildungen. For Celle each point is worth gold now and they're playing against a team whom they've beaten in previous seasons. Wildungen is under no pressure today. The offered handicap with the home team being undefeated has a value. Details

Radwanska won only one out of the last four matches and that's why we have such a good handicap. She lost to Giorgi indoors, and we all know how dangerous the Italian is in such conditions. Although she stayed only at two games in a Fed Cup match against Bacsinszky, the defeat wasn't schocking since the Swiss is great this season. It's enough to say that she has 25 wins and only four defeats. In the end the Pole lost a thriller against Errani, and being defeated by the Italian on clay is no disgrace. So, it all accumulated in a short period of time, and now she also broke off her work with Navratilova, but all that doesn't change the fact that Arruaberrena is a good draw. The Spaniard is barely a Top 100. Last week she tied two wins together, but then Mladenovic left her at five games. Kerber recently beat her with only three lost games. Radwanska is no great hitter to force things because it's not her style. She knows how to balance it all out and after a few tough opponents she's up against one she doesn't need to be frightened by. If she wants to silence the media, if she wants to avoid new question about her crisis, she can do this today with a convincing win. She surely has motive, and she's two steps above her game-wise. The Pole has two semi-finals here in the last three years and today she will take advantage of the draw, and I will take the advantage of the handicap which was done based on Radwanska's latest results, and not the realistic difference between these two players. Details

While Galatasaray were calmly preparing for this match, Partizan are in the middle of a home championship semi-finals. A match of the season, at least so far, is on Wednesday and I'm sure that's what's occupying them more than anything else at the moment. The coach spared some of his best players in Triglav League and Champions League because of that. I believe Vujasinovic will also save his best players in Istanbul as well because there's no point in spending his players who have already been spent in a match which is of no importance for them. But it's important for Galatasaray who are approaching the European top and winning is what pleases them. Two wins in 19 Champions League matches shows us that the Turkish team won't just come and do the match. On paper they have the stronger starting seven, a pool in which one Jug was almost drowned in, against them are a team who won't die to win, and that will be asked by the fans and the coach. In such a case these odds should be used. Details

I don't see any reason for these odds except for the two preparation games in which Germany defeated France, who were not still complete back then. France made it into WC quarterfinals and have proven themselves to be great team. I don't see why that shouldn't happen today because their team is just as good, lead by Da Costa, who is KHL's Top 5 forward and Roussel, who ha a good NHL season. The Germans have Reider from NHL but he's the only international in the team, even though the French shouldn't fear him either. Germany's team is not nearly as good as last season because they basically rely only on players from DEL and the odds should at least reversed. France are the better team and have better result from WC, better roster and international experience. I think putting Germany in the role of favorite is not realistic at all against a team that play QFs last season and the team I and all the experts don't think will be knocked out. Details

If this game was taking place early of mid-season, it would have made sense to regard Wolfsberger as the favorite again Altach but since it's the end and everything is already knows, it seems like WAC are not a heavy favorite here if they can even be considered one at all). There are a few reasons for that, the first one being the Cup semifinal defeat to Austria 0-3.
That was the game of the season for such a small club as WAC and their players wanted to reach the finals badly. They lost instead and have probably not bounced bad from such a disappointment in only three days. To make matters even worse, two offensive midfielders got injured which left the coach with very limited choice for the lineup. His starters will be 11 disappointed and tired players, some of which are substitutes lacking experience and quality. We need to wait and see how they'll do on the pitch.
Altach see this game as a unique chance to get in the runner-up spot and stay there if Rapid fail to beat Strum away tomorrow. Altach extended their home winning streak to 9 game last round and even though they sometimes do badly away, have managed to, for example, beat Salzburg away this season.
That is no coincidence even though the visitors are not complete either. But they are far better rested and focused on this match, knowing how far the win can get them. They can play tough and for the score. If the opponents don't answer with running and aggression, they will not win.
Their three h2h games of the season all finished with different outcomes. When you don't trust the home team at odds of 2.00 or just above it, the double chance that the visitors won't lose is a very logical option. Details

This is third challenger SFs for Ceccinato in the last 3 weeks. That proves he has confidence form, rhythm and most importantly - quality. Hats off to Hamou for the greatest achievement of his carrier but he has not recorded a single CH win in his carrier before Turin and that cannot be a coincidence. While his results here are something new, Ceccinato does this all the time. The Italian did drop a set in two out of three matches but his game after that was brilliant. He covered this margin in all three matches and he's the ATP main draw material. Hamou wants to get better at this level but the difference in quality is there. The Italian has more experience, he's better rested and let's not forget that the Frenchman play a total of 6 matches here (Qualifying rounds+main draw. I believe Ceccinato is headed for a win. Details

Runner ups and the team in spot three meet today in an extremely important game. Both teams want to salvage their seasons through VTB league and make it in Euroleague. The battle starts today and both coaches know that there's no room for mistakes. Three out of four games of these teams finished well under this margin, the only exception being the Eurocup QFs first leg game. The margins were about five points lower before those games and the margin for this one should have been somewhere along those lines as well. It's higher because of both teams' stats in this competition, which are not painting the most accurate picture here. In the league in which teams are most offense-oriented and teams like Avdotor, Ensej and many others pump the averages, the fact that these two rivals concede under 75 points per game tells me much more about them. Given the defensive potential of both teams, I don't think this will go over 145-150 points. Details

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