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The 130,5 points under seems like the best option here since neither team likes fast-pace and don't have great offensive ends. However, they are both doing well in defense. Romania are, alongside Croatia, the only team without a defeat but I'm not sure they are better than Portugal. These teams met twice just before the championship - Romania won 59-55 once and lost 68-49 the second time. We need to note that Romania played without their top three players in that second game. Romania recorded overs with Hungary and Macedonia but they stayed under with Portugal. At the championship, they had an over with Malta, who play horribly defense, and Macedonia at 131 points. They finished at 114 with Georgia and 121 with Albania. Portugal mostly played games at over 130 points but I still think defense is their strong suit. They limited Croatia to 75 points and Croatian offensive end is at least one level above all others.
To sum up, unless something unexpected happens here, I believe we have good grounds for 120, especially since this is QFs which means both teams will try their best. There will be no chance for making amends later on. They played two tough preparation games and I don't see things being different here. Details

En extremely high margin but I think this will finish with a 35-goal difference. Burkina Faso lost by 33 to Tunisia, by 28 to Macedonia (three important players scored just three goals). They conceded 50 and 48 to teams weaker than Spain and more importantly, those teams don't often trash their opponents. Spain have the aggressive 5-1 and 4-2 lineups and of they play that, they will score a lost of fastbreak goals.

Spain had a similar game in Russia at WC when they beat Venezuela 47-7. For comparison's sake, Venezuela lost by 39 to Norway, 42 to Germany, by 20 to Iceland who were holding back, at Panamerican by 40 to Brazil. I think they are at a level similar to Burkina.

The fact they're playing two games within 20 hours is also very important here. I see enough potential in this margin even if Spain don't go full throttle all the time, as expected. Their defense and transition is just too much for these opponents. Germany beat Chile by 26 easily in the second, while Iceland beat Arabia by 25 in the second. The difference here is even greater. Details

I believe France will win this easily by at least 4-5 goals. They have a much better subs and the top players who are on the team, unlike on Slovenia, who are without top two scorers. Also, Slovenia had 23 technical faults and conceded 16 goals from fastbreaks. The French coach said he wants better defense and that is why I'm mostly going with this tip. Slovenia won the Qatar game mostly because of Qatar's slow transition. That won't be the case here because France attack within seconds of conceding a goal. They are extremely efficient and beat most opponents on account of fast transition that doesn't allow the opponents to change the players. France won by this goal difference in 16 out of 23 competitive games over the past three years. They didn't in the aforementioned game with Slovenia and twice with Germany, Hungary and Spain but we need to note that they beat Hungary by 3 goals exactly. Slovenia, on the other hand, have just 5 defeats in competitive games over the past three years (Spain -1, Iceland -4, Switzerland -9, Hungary -3 and France -7). France beat Iceland by 7, 7 and 5 and Switzerland by 10 and 11. One meeting in Russia finished as a draw and the other one was a +7 win for France but we need to note that Slovenia could count on top two scorers who scored 26 out of 58 goals. Their absence is definitely a problem for Slovenia. Details