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Plzen have been dominant in the Czech Republic for years now, especially when it comes to the most important games. They lost just one out of 24 playoff games in the last 3 seasons. Given how they're playing now, that incredible record should only get better.
They proved to be better than Lovosice in both games last weekend to win by 6 and 8. They could have won by more goals had it not been for rotations or holding back. It was +8 by half time in both games. Lovosice didn't seem good enough for that challenge at any point in the game. One other reason for this tip is Boucek's injury. He is their key offensive player and they have no proper substitute for him. Also, they will be without key defender Landa today as well. Like that, Lovosice are not top of the league and even with those two players, Plzen are at least 5 goals better.

Lovosice now have home court advantage and the audience but I cannot just ignore these odds because of that. Plzen are well-experienced, do great under pressure. Last season, they came here with a 2-0 lead when Lovosice had Boucek and Landa. Plzen were weaker than now and still won 28-20. Looking at a more recent meeting, Plzen won by 7 in regulation time here two months ago. The second half finished at 16-4.
Easy wins in Brno and jicin were also good for this bet. Some earlier defeats for Plzen away when they were not complete mean nothing here. That often happened to them in earlier seasons too. When it's important and it is now, they don't make mistakes.
Lovosice beat Karvina three times easily here but that team is horrible away and cannot be compared to Plzen quality-wise. They lost to Frydek and Jicin when complete here. I think that kind of a team cannot make this complicated for Plzen. They will confirm another great final today.