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Basketball » Svjetsko prvenstvo U19 (W), Osmina finala
26.07.2017. 20:45 Finished
Italy - Spain (49:59)
Total points (OT incl.) 120,5 tip: Under   Juraj
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.83 10/10 1.70 119.5 Bet365
I expect a tough game. The stake is high now. The Italians are hosts here, they will try their best but so will Spain. I thought about the total under but I think the team under at Italy is more likely to happen. They went over this margin in the first game with China (scored 63), scored 63 against Mali as well and Mali allowed 72 to China and 95 to the US. Looking at the test games, we have 53 against Japan, 53 against Latvia, 36 against the US and 46 against Spain. They played all the games expect for the one against Spain without their top player Andra. However, Spain have good centers that will be able to defend her, as the friendly game showed.

Italy rarely go over this margin. At the last EC they went over only against Israel. Spain play good defense, the only problem is the 71 against Egypt but they knew they would win that. They went over in some test games but against teams with better offensive ends than Italy. At the last EC, Spain conceded over 60 three times but I expect them to settle this game through defense.

Italy under 30 in the first half is a good option as well but I cannot disregard the fact they always hit more in the first half of preparation games (against Japan, Latvia, Spain, Americans). That is why I'm going with total under.
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