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After seeing the Croatia - Romania and Poland - Netherlands games yesterday, I decided to take a handicap on Poland even if the margin is at -2.5. I still stand by that, but for a somewhat safer option I'll take a handicap on Poland at a -1,5 margin, as those are great and widely available odds. The reason is that Croatia is struggling with an already thin and not too powerful roster, while Poland are strong, motivated, disciplined and fired up. The only ones they didn't beat with the handicap was home Lithuania, everyone else got squished by at least 4, and as they're two levels above everyone here, I think they'll top Croatia by at least 3. A win would also secure them the gold and ascent the next rank before the last day, avoiding the drama. Croatia were great on defense so far, mostly due to the KHL players, but now they're missing their best back Martinović, and with Kanaet and Mario Novak also missing or unprepared, they've had to rotate out their first back pair. The long game yesterday must have tired them out as well, while Poland had time to prepare and rest. There is simply no argument for this ending in anything but at least 2 for Poland, as to get a close loss like Lithuania or a win Croatia would need to play their best so far, and they already did that against Britain. Apart from this handicap, as Croatia are better on offense than defense, I'd suggest trying over at 5.5, for another high value bet.