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There are a few reasons for this bet. The first, statistics. Nancy are at 149.6 points (19 unders, 6 overs) in the championship, Chalon at 150.4 points (16 unders, 9 overs). Their first duel ended at 145. This match is really important for both teams because of the playoffs. They're direct rivals.
Also, the circumstances work for this bet. Nancy will play without their first point guard Clark (15.8 points and 3.4 assists), who took the lead role after coming from Nanterre, and he lead almost all the action. Nancy are in a similar situation they've been in in the last two duels of 2014, when they were without Adams, and Clark still didn't have the right to play. The young Sene will take a huge responsibility again, and he's not ready to take that burden offensively to the fullest. Nancy really focused on the defense in those matches, and won at 137 and 133. The difference is that they had Gladyr in those matches (16 points in both), and he should be out today. His substitute is not up to that level. With a limited number of offensive solutions, Nancy should rely on the defense even more, which is lead by Falker and Pietrus. Chalon are also having problems - their first scorer Rich is questionable, as is the important card of the paint, Dove (12.2 points and 8.2 rebounds). The guests have been more efficient in the duels in the last weeks, but with these different circumstances, I expect a much bigger fight. A defeat would lead Chalon in a very tough situation, but a win would lead them closer to Nancy, with 2-0 in the duels played between the two.