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The second leg Cup Winners' Cup semifinal game. Lada have a 4-goal lead from the frist leg (28-24). Krim could have done better since they had a 15-13 lead 32 minutes into the game but they also could have done worse since they were 8 goals down with 10 minutes left on the clock. The fact Krim managed to out Lada's fast transition under control in that first game is what we base this tip on. At the same time, them were patient in offense for the most part. Their coach Uros Bregar said they will have a similar approach today. That could get them en European final. The Russian used 9 players in the field in the first match. It would therefore be deadly for them to accept a fast pace since the Russians have more players to choose from.
Let's take a look at Krim's result in second leg games of this season in this competition. They managed to make up for the deficit from the first leg in round of 16 and in QFs getting better in defense and playing smart in offense. Those were as a rule less productive games. If Krim enforce their style today, this game will most likely not finish with over 55 goals.