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Basketball » Turkey 1 (M), Quarter-finals
22.05.2016. 16:00 Finished
Galatasaray - Karsiyaka (77:62)
Away team 1st half total points 34.5 tip: Under   Legolas17
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.83 5/10 1.72 34.5 Bet365
Defenses are in the forefront in this series. Actually, in their last three head-to-heads. In early May Galatasaray won a game at 141 points, and in the two quarter-final games 141 and 127 points were scored. Before that they played a Eurocup round of 16 game, in Izmir at 131 point and in the return fixture 158 with 93 scored by Galatasaray. Their first championship game was the only one with a lot points, but they did not play defense in that fame, it was a rather irrelevant game mid-way through the season. Everything I wrote tells us to bet on an under. I thought about the options for the overall under like I wrote about the previous game, but I am afraid that the same scenario as in Eurocup return fixture may happen, when Galata went over, and demolished Pinar. So the only viable option is Pinar's team under. It is set at 70.5 points, and I discarded that option for two reasons - possible dilution of the game or possible free throw finish. But the halftime team under seems like a great option. There is no fear of dilution, no penalty shoot-out finish, and no lack of motivation. This is the deciding game, the game of highest stakes, because the semi-final is on the line. Of their five head-to-heads, Pinar scored by the halftime: 52 (in the first championship game at a lot of points), 28 (league), 29 (first Eurocup game), 33 (Eurocup return fixture) and 29 and 24 in the quarter-final. This means that they were under this margin five out of six times. Galata have shown that they can be stopped, and Pinar do not have a great offense. They depend a lot offensively on Wright and Gabriel's three pointers, and these two are not in great form. This should stay under if Galatasaray play defense as good as they did in previous duels. And there is no reason they wouldn't. In similar games they conceded 35 at home to Strasbourg, and 23 away are significant. 25 at home against Bayern, there were a lot of points only in two games against Gran Canaria. In the Top 32 at home - Sassari 33, Szolnoki 34 and Zaragoza 33.
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