betprepare.com

I lost a similar bet a few days ago (Zadar team under), but the circumstances were against me. The match fell apart pretty quickly and there was zero defense. Even then, Zadar had 79 points, only a few points over the 74.5 margin. That was all pretty meek, but the game in Zadar was completely different. Aggressive, eager on both sides, and the final moments only proved it. Cibona's captain Rozić hit Zadar's Bašić in the head, the audience insulted Cibona's players and their coach got pissed off. All of that only made things even more intense before this third and final game. Unlike the first one, I don't expect a blowout so Zadar should stay under the team margin set to 73.5. But because of the intensity and a possibility of a lot of throws in the last minutes, I think Zadar's team under after the first half is a better option. Statistically, that's not as attractive as a total under (Zadar hit 62, 65, 82 (in the Cup at home, ABA league with Cosey), 65, 72, 79 (in this blowout), and 73 against Cibona), while they had 37 and 42 after the first half in this series, 30 and 39 in the Championship, 42 in the Cup, 37 and 40 in ABA league. They hit 40 in Zagreb (ABA with Cosey), 30 championship, and 37 (first semis where the difference was 15 by the end of the first half, so the defenses weren't being played right). Like I said, the tensions are high, this is the game for the final which means playing against Cedevita, but still... The motivation is not questionable, Zadar aren't cream of the top offensive-wise (quite the opposite), Cibona will be eager from the get go. There's even more arguments for under this time than the first time.