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Basketball » Germany 1 (M), Final
05.06.2016. 15:00 Finished
Brose Baskets - Ulm (101:82)
Handicap (OT incl.) -19.5 tip: 1   Marko
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.92 5/10 1.75 -20 Pinnacle
This is quite a high margin for a final game, but I think that Ulm won't do better today than in the last seasons when they were losing by 20 in Bamberg. Ulm definitely deserve respect for getting to the final, but Brose proved this season that they're above other teams in Bundesliga. They win their home games by 25 per game, they haven't lost a playoff game, and they embarrassed Bayern in the semis, beating them by 15 and 31 at home, and Wurzburg by 41 and 35 in their arena. Ulm managed to get one road win in Oldenburg and Frankfurt, and all home ones, so that's how they got to the finals, but they haven't been convincing on the road, losing six of the last ten, and by 33 in Bamberg mid April. Ulm don't have a center that could dominate the paint. Morgan and Rubit have been pretty good in the playoffs, but the home team's center line is powerful defensively, and fast, something not to the guests' liking. The difference in width and quality is even bigger in Brose's favor in the guard positions. Also, the coach Trinchieri keeps Brose at the same level for 40 minutes, he's not letting his guard down, and that's why I'll go for the entire game's handicap. Brose were leading by a smaller number of points after the first half compared to the second in only few games, against weaker teams while they were playing the Euroleague. Against bigger teams (Alba, Ulm, Bayern, Frankfurt, Oldenburg, Ludwigsburg), they always increased the difference in the second half, and got convincing double-digit wins. This is the fight for the Euroleague, Brose have been waiting for this for the entire season, they said themselves that a season without the champion title makes no sense. Motivated as they are, playing at home, I think Brose can't win this by under 20+ points.
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