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The Russian game doesn't seem that good so far and I'm afraid they will not be able to defend the title from London. There is no dominance over the opponents through the middle blocker position now that Muserski isn't there. Opposite Mikhaylov needs more games, settler Grankin did badly as well. All the attackers struggled a lot. Kliuka is doing well on reception but Tetyukhin is 40 and simply cannot do wonders anymore. The weakened Cuba managed to get a set against them and Argentina gave them a lesson in volleyball as well yesterday. Egypt couldn't do anything in the first game against Poland. Also, their opposite Elkotbo got injured. Abdelhay is back into the spotlight now but he needs more games to find form after an injury. He displayed a great game in the second meeting to record 20 points (against Cuba). Even the best teams will struggle to stop him when he reaches top level. Egypt are physically powerful and have done rather well in World League. A year ago at World Cup, Russia beat Egypt in straight sets (138 points) and two years ago at WC also in straight sets (127 points). Musersky played both of those matches and Russia were much better than they are today. They haven't even been able to reach Top 6 in World League this year. I don't think the h2h meetings from over 5 years ago are relevant.
Egyot recorded their first historic win at the Olympics, which means they are now bursting with confidence. They now have the chance to stun one of the better teams to finish in top 4 and get into the QFs. Russian played badly against Argentina and I don't think they can trash opponents like Egypt at the moment. Egypt are getting better each next year, they are doing well here and I'm sure they can get at least one set complicated, if not win at least one. That should be enough for the points over. In any case, I expect Egypt to win over 60 points.