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After Iceland and Spain played a draw, it seems like the goal difference will probably be crucial in the battle for the semis. Both of these teams are weaker than France but they are also much better than Poland. Goal difference in games against those rivals will probably be crucial. That means we can count on Iceland being extremely motivated from start to finish, especially since this is the the first game of the day. Poland don't have the capacity to deal with the best. When it comes to games that mattered against better opponents at major competitions, they finished at -9 with Germany, at -16 with France, and at -7 with Hungary at the EC they hosted in 2014. They finished at -9 against Hungary at WC in Russia and have a draw with Sweden. At this championship, they have -14 with France (could have been -20 had France gone full throttle until the end). The icing on the case is the head-to-head qualifier in Poland when Iceland won 31-26 but had 26-14 mid-second half. Compared with that game, Poland don't have one of their top players Majdzinski (scored 4 goals back then). Iceland, however, now have the important pivot Arnason.

There will be no holding back here and Iceland will try and get as big a win as possible.They are the favorites and a better-quality team. That game from April proved that Iceland definitely have the game for Poland. They had no answer to Iceland's 5-1 defense with Palsson, while Iceland scored quite a lot of easy goals. They proved to have offense potential even against teams much better than this one.