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It is not that I am insisting on betting against Falk, but what the bookmakers have offered us on their supposed chances is great. Again we got only 2.5 on their opponents and we must use that. This is actually a copy of the predictions I wrote so far. We had 3.5 on Baekkelaget, 2.5 Bodo, 4.5 Elverum and today we against have 2.5 against Fyllingen which is ridiculous, in my opinion. Just to say, this is profitable at least up to 5,5.
Fyllingen are currently 5th, and 7th Kolstad are only one point behind. Play-off and European competitions are important for them, and if they drop to 7th position, they will face difficult opponents in the play-off. Also, they can still win a medal. Third-placed Haslum are only 3 points ahead of them, OIF are 2 points ahead and they will play at LTH today, which they should win. So Fyllingen cannot slip up here. They have won 8 games this season, all 8 over this margin, and they defeated Haslum, OIF, Halden, Kolstad... all teams better than Falk. They won their first head-to-head by 13 and with a poor first half performance. They couldn't have done much against OIF, the defending champions were great, and their goalkeepers were not up for the task. They will have an easier job today, they lost at home only to Elverum and BSK, but that is not relevant. They will not lose this.
Falk defeated Hallvard and that is why we have this margin, but Hallvard are not a serious team, especially since they lost Vildalen. Their offense is weaker without him. I will not diminish Falk's win, but the fact is they used their opponents' bad performance. The second half finished 11-11. As far as their stats are concerned, they lost 12 games this eason, and went over this margin in 10 of them.
These 2.5 are absolutely too low. Coach Gjesdal wants a much better performance today at home, their win is a safe bet, and I am sure it will be convincing. After 13 goals from the first game, this cannot go under 6 or seven goals difference.