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Bayern suffered a heavy defeat to Unicaja on Wednesday and were eliminated from the Eurocup, so their complete focus is now on Bundesliga. If they were not eliminated, they would have had two European games next week, but this way their first game is in a week, the derby against Brose. The Bavarians are dominant in Bundesliga lately, they recorded 6 straight away wins (9-2 overall), won by 20 at Frankfurt, at Jena by 44, at Ludwigsburg by 10, Alba by 24 (defeated them in the Cup in Berlin as well), Bremerhaven by 35 last weekend. The only downside to this is a win by 5 at Wurzburg, but that is the local derby and the tensions are always high. We can also add that they won at Ulm (who are undefeated in Bundesliga) in the Eurocup by 11 at the start of the year.
Tubingen have avoided relegation, mainly because of good away performances against weaker teams. They are bad at home (2-9), the worst home team in the league (with Rasta), They only defeated Giessen at home, in the first round, and Rasta. In the last round they lost to Telekom by double-digit difference, before that they lost to Jena, Frankfurt, Alba... If we look at their home games against the strongest German teams, they lost to all of them by double-digits, except Alba who have been inconsistent this season. The difference in quality is significant here, Bayern are in a good form and the offered margin is definitely not too high. Bayern won their first head-to-head routinely by over 30 points. If they had European games next week, the first half handicap would have been a better option, but this way I choose overall handicap.