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Mons say that this is basically their last chance to catch up with Spirou. Mons are in spot 8, the last one that leads into playoffs. They are far ahead of Leuven (3 wins more) but they are two steps away from Spirou. If they lost today, catching up would be difficult. Finishing in post 8 means meeting Oostende, which everyone in Belgium wants to avoid. Mons are among the most defensive oriented teams in the league. Their average in home games is 148 points, they are 9-3 in unders at this margin. Looking at the game with tougher teams, this is how they did: Oostende 130 points, Spirou 134, Brussels 133. They stayed at 140 or under twice with Antwerpen, who are now more offense oriented. Away with Oostede they went to 145 and 148, 134 and 164 with Brussels, 141 with Spirou in the derby match where tensions are always high. They have 8 overs and 4 unders away at tis margin and their average away is 161,6 points. There a lot of teams in that championship that play run and gun so we need to look at the meetings with more defense oriented teams. Away against Mons they got limited to 134, against Oostende in the game that fell apart at 144. The fact they played Brussels away at 174 at the start of the season, at 166 against Antwerp away and recently finished at 129 and Antwerp at 146 in regulation time says it all about the improvements on the defensive end. After the change of coach, they went at 154 with Oostender some ten days ago (24-31 last quarter), last weekend they limited fast-paced Willebroek at 56 (143 total). Mons finished at 131 a week ago against what might be the fastest team in the league Limburg.
Let's add that they played 10 competitive games over the past 3 seasons and went over 148 in only one of them. They finished at 144 or lower 8 times.