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I don't know why the bookmakers decided to give Cartagena an advantage in this game. The only parameter that is not in Navarra's favor is the fact that this is their longest bus ride of the season. But it is a mistake to take the game between rookies in the league, Cartagena, and a team that gave a hard time to greatest teams of LNFS, like Barcelona, El Pozo and Inter Movistar, and put it on the home team's side. If we look at the pre-season, Cartagena faced a team from Primera, Jumilla FS, who will be the weakest team in Primera, and they defeated them 3-2 at a pre-season tournament, where they easily lost 1-5 to half of El Pozo (the other half was at the world cup). I also watched the game against third league side Pinatar whom they barely defeated 2-1. They recently faced mediocre second division side whom they defeated 3-0. As you can see, they never scored over 3 goals. I cannot see how they can go over that number in the first game against experienced Magna Gurpea team, especially if we see that only a few teams scored over 3 goals against them last season (Santiago, Inter, Barcelona, Palma, Catgas), and teams of this level (Jumilla, Zaragoza, Burela, Antequera) were limited to one, two goals, so my pick is going for maximal stake.