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Narbonne had Tours on their knees last round but for some reason, they also play close games with them and the bookies have clearly been influenced by that match when setting the margins for this meeting. Still, Narbonne do horribly home. They are 2-26 away looking at this and the last two seasons and they do particularly badly in Corsica. They didn't get a single set in 5 out of 6 games there and the defeats have been pretty nasty. They lost by 35 total points, by 14, 16, and 14. The last three were back when Ajaccio were in the lower part of the table. The team from Corsica didn't do well away so far but they are pretty convincing home. They covered this handicap agianst teams better than Narbonne and in 4 sets (Nantes +13, Toulouse +16). Toulouse beat them in Narbonne by 14 and Nantes beat them home by 13. They clearly let go after the first set. The home team is very motivated after the last defeat in Montpellier while Narbonne lost by 19 to Nice, their direct rivals. I expect Ajaccio to win this by 14 points.