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After the win over Poland, the path toward the round of 16 will be wide open for Brazil if they defeat Japan, so they will be highly motivated. Brazil demolished Poland by 5 at halftime yesterday with great defense (Thiagus, who means a lot to them, is back), and even such wounded Poland is a level better than Japan. Under Nunes they also defeated Slovakia by 7, and they are similar to Japan in quality. There may not be many relevant results on their side, but I am sure they will be maximally motivated today and they will want to decide the game early on so they could possibly relax a bit in the second half. Japan showed a lot of problems against 6-0 zone in the game against France, which is no surprise since they are much shorter than other teams, and they could have a lot of problems today against Brazil's defensive blocked formed by Ponciano and Thiagus. On the other side, Japan's defense is very weak, and they cannot really stop anyone. They were down by 3 at halftime against Russia, but Russia were in the lead by 5 or more the entire half, and Japan closed the gap due to their bad defense. In the second round they were down by 8 against France who played relaxed, and from earlier they were down by 5 against Bahrein, 3 and 7 against Qatar. Three years ago they played a friendly head-to-head, and Brazil were in the lead by 7 then, by 18 at the end.
Everything here is in Brazil's favor, they are motivated, have great defense that can cause a lot of problems for Japan and use counterattacks (like Russia and France have), and Japan's defense is very bad and I cannot see how they could stop anyone, because Brazil can outplay them both 1-on-1 and with outside shots. I expect the game to be decided at halftime and I think Brazil shouldn't have any problems with covering this low margin in the first 30 minutes.