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This should have been a live tip but in the meantime it became available on Pinnacle and with other bookies. We have two very motivated teams. The WC is at stake. Russia are the Olympic champions but Poland have done better in h2h games the last few years. Poland beat 29-26 them last season at EC to eliminated them from the competition. A year later, Poland recorded a new wins over Russia 21-20). Just three months later, the same teams met again in the Olympic qualifiers, which was played in Russia. The home team won 27-25 to get in the Olympics. Poland won 30-22 and Russia won 31-21 back in 2012.
After the gold in Rio, Russia rebuilt the team and there are now only 7 of those who won gold in Rio on the list. Poland, on the other hand, have basically the same team that played EC late in 2016. Poland recorded all three defeats there, all three were unders (France 22-31, Germany 20-22, the Netherlands 21-30). Russia finished in 7 at that EC, 5 of their 6 games finished at under 55 goals (Croatia 32-26, Romania 17-22, Norway 21-23, Czech Republic 26-24, Denmark 26-26 Hungary 26-26).
To sum up, we have two games which will decide the entire year. Also, we have 5 h2h meetings since 2012, 4 of which were unders. One was over with 55 goals but at half time it was at 24 goals. And finally, Russia have two overs and 1 under at the last friendly tournament in Antalia but those teams cannot be compared. Poland played Belarus at 47 in March, Ukrain at 43 and Slovakia 54. That's just another reason to believe in an under now.