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Zeljeznicar's last test game is a good indication of what we can expect today. Both teams play their European games next week and their opponents will most definitely send someone to collect info on their game. It's logical to assume both teams will try and hide some of their plans, especially in offense.

Siroki had 16 unders in 20 games in league and Cup games last season after Sablic took over (was in change at Split before and went 22 for 26 in unders). They finished the season with 11 unders in 12 games. The only over was the second leg Cup game with Zeljeznicar who had to make up for the 0-1 deficit from the first game. That was an away game while the other three overs happened in Siroki. Two of those were convincing wins which I do not expect today. These 4 overs are the only 4 games in which they scored more than one goal per game.

Zeljeznicar had the second lowest goal average in regular season (1,91 goal per game). Things didn't change much as they went into the race for the title (2,10 per game). The fact they had 17 unders in 22 games of the first part of the season says a lot about their game. The visitors are 13-for-16 for under overall in the season and played their overs against three most efficient teams int he league. Also, they lost the player with most assists, acquired a lot of new offense players and will need some time there. They opened the last season with 8 straight unders (2 friendly matches included).

In head-to-head games, the last 6 out of 7 were unders with the only over being the aforementioned Cup second leg.
The problem here is the home team losing top goal keeper and a starting center back. The visitors are without a starting center back and a left back. Be that as it may, this should stay under given both team's game style.