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Anything but a convincing win for Germany would be a surprise here. That is why my choice is a win for Germany by 3 or more goals.

Head-to-head meetings display dominance Germany have over Russia. They beat them in 17 out of 19 games with an impressive 67-8 goal difference. Many of those games were played a long time ago and aren't relevant but the difference in quality has not changed. Their last 4 meetings played since 2013 prove that (Germany won them 9-0, 4-1, 2-0, 4-0).

Russia have no wins against other Top 10 teams either: Sweden 0-2, the US 1-5, Brazil 0-4, Canada 1-2, France 1-2. We can add some Top 20 teams to this: Belgium -3, 0-3, 0-5, Denmark 1-6, the Netherlands 0-4, Italy 0-3. The only good result is the win over Italy at this EC.

Ever since Jones took over, Germany played just one game with a team outside the Top 20. It was a 2-0 win over Hungary. When it comes to other games, they have 4-2 against the Netherlands, 4-2 against Austria, 3-1 against Brazil and 2-1 against Canada. All those teams are much better than Russia, who should attack in this game but I think Germany will attack them from kick off.

Once Germany get a lead, there will be no stopping them. They need another convincing win to avoid the Netherlands later on.