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Venezuela beat Virgin Islands yesterday in a great game to get themselves very close to the semis. They now rely on themselves and need ''just'' the win over Canada. These two teams played in Olympic qualifiers two years ago when Canada ha a lot of great players. Still, Venezuela beat them in a key game 79-78 to get through to the final. They are basically the same team today while Canada aren't. The Canadian team is much weaker, as we saw in the first two games. Offensive-wise, this team has a lot of problems. They failed to hit 80 points even against fast-paced team like Argentina and Virgin Islands. Venezuela are a much slower team that relies on defense. They limited Argentina to just 67 in the first game. Yesterday, Virgin islands hit 84 points with over 50-percent shooting yesterday. Canada basically have only Heslip who can play like that. They are physically very powerful but Venezuela have an answer to that. Colmenares can control the paint against Anthony and Nicholson, which is very important. If Canadians are stopped from rebounding, they will be in trouble. Canada need to win by 23 points which cannot happen which is why they could fall apart. Venezuela, on the other hand, cannot afford to hold back. Venezuela are better than Canada are will most likely win today. The most realistic option is team under at Canada.