betprepare.com

Nara doesn't have much experience on clay and that's the only reason for Peng being the favorite here. But, the fact remains the Japanese player has been working on her moving on clay and that she won Rio, while Peng has nothing. She reached the quarter final in Marrakesh by beating weak Jabeur and Zanevska. She lost to every even slightly more dangerous player. Her game is flaw-ridden, there's first and foremost her weak serving, and ups and downs. Consistency was always her strong suit, but lately, it's hasn't been good. The conditions in Madrid are slightly faster, which is better for Nara. She is more confident with her serving, and unlike Peng, has been injury free for a while. Peng has been complaining about her thigh injury lately. She lost the first round matches in Madrid three times, and I think she's closer to losing this time than the odds suggest.