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Even though Kerber makes sure to tell the press after each match that he's playing with no fears, she doesn't leave that impression on the court. She played defense well, but she also has a hard time getting points. The match against Hantuchova could've easily went the other way, and Daniela's gaffe decided, she didn't finish the game at 5-5 and 40-0. The German is playing better than in the last few weeks, but it's still far off from the way she got to Top 10. On the other hand, Bouchard isn't brilliant, either. Especially at the beginning of the matches where she always needs a few games to catch the rhythm, and she gets into a break behind early on. She could allow herself that against Larsson and Goerges, but not against Kerber. Her hits are stronger than Hantuchova's, who had 45 winners against the German, and I think she'll manage to break her defense. Besides, her service is more secure, and she has more self-confidence. Kerber lost to Pliskova last week after having a 4-0 advantage in the first set, and it only confirms that she doesn't like the hitters like that. Bouchard is much closer to a win in this match, and I'm convinced she'll get it.