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Garcia is in poor form and that's a fact, but she is still closer to a win in this match. She has had no confidence in her last 2 grass matches, but those were against more aggressive players than the one today. That's how she got through and she made many mistakes in her attempts to take over the initiative. Now she's facing a match against a much more passive player whom she had already beaten on clay and this will help her in term of psychological advantage. I believe that Garcia will take courage from that win and that she will show her true face in this match. In addition, she's much better on grass than Errani who has a much weaker serve, which is often the main aspect of grass matches. Garcia also has a faster game in rallies, a better serve and a better performance on the net, so only a large number of unforced errors can stop her from getting through into the second round.