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Kukushkin has been doing great lately, as Djokovic and Cilic confirmed after their last meetings with him. His game is bursting with confidence, he's attacking and looking to score. He fired 35 winners in his head-to-head match with Djokovic in Shanghai and reached semi-final last week, which is very indicative of his current quality. Wawrinka secured a spot in the ATP Finals in London as expected. But, he hasn't won since New York, with Asian string of tournaments proving to be a disaster. He's always under a lot of stress when playing home (lost his first round matches last two years in Basel). He want to do perfectly home but ends up putting too much pressure on himself. He did beat Kukushkin recently, but that was a Davis Cup match. Playing when your idol (Federer) is giving you support is much easier than being on the court all by yourself. Even so, Kukushkin managed to get a set in that match and put up a good fight. His performances are now better, while Wawrinka's diminished. I wouldn't not be surprised to see Wawrinka crash out of yet another Basel first round.