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I have a feeling that Karlovic is tired. He's not as aggresive as he was on the return and that favors this bet. Last week he played three matches and made only one break - against Melzer in a game which was interrupted shortly since the Austrian needed medical help because of his heart. Rosol is out of shape, but he only needs to keep the serve here. The fact that it's not even the right one suits me because I usually respect his return game when it's in full swing. Regarding mutual meetings, he was the only one to finish in two tie-breaks although both of them had their share of chances on the return. Both of them give out little rhythm, they love fast games and that will be the most visible at the start.