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The book makers got a bit ahead of themselves when setting the odds at Pospisil's win as a consequence of Lorenzi's convincing win over Dolgopolov. The market reacted and brought the odds down to where they should be. The Italian beat Dolgopolov in straight sets, which doesn't happen often, not even at challenger level. We talked about him wanting to pull out due to a new knee injury, but went ahead and played anyway. If that even qualifies as playing. Pospisil beat Querrey to record an important win in terms of confidence since he won a five-set match. He was never successful in those. He claims to love Australia, while the Italian has 2-14 record at Grand Slams. One win was a result of forfeit and the other one was against the injured Dolgopolov. He won't be able to stand up to Pospisil. The surface is fast, allowing Pospisil to use his service, while the Italian offers opponents a lot of chances in his service games. One of the sets might be close, but that's it. Lorenzi can beat better players, but he's a heavy underdog here. De Schepper covered this at Wimbledon and I would be surprised if the Italian gets a set here. Handicap should be successful either way. Lorenzi has nothing to do here, even Ramos beat his last week and we all know that the Spaniard prefers clay surface.