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Berdych is on a 3-1 head-to-head record. Two of those wins were on hard-court, while he won once and lost once on clay. He won by 4 or more games in those three matches. Monfils is quite unpredictable and not at a very high level that is necessary against such an opponent. It's not clear as to how fit he is since he often complains about fatigue and had just had the flu. He beat Vasselin easily in the first round and then played a pretty close match with Vasellin in the second. He said he will take some time off after this tournament to recover completely. He's been saying that he's not 100% fit and that should allow problems-free Berdych to win easily. Berdych was dominant in the last match with Seppi, even though the outcome of the second set might lead us into a different conclusion. Berdych is in much better form, both regarding his game and fitness.