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Even though it may seem crazy to bet on Mirjana after her three-sets match yesterday, while Garcia won convincingly, but I'm sure Lucic is closer to winning than the odds suggest. The most important reason for it is first serve. Garcia had only just above 50% of first serve points while Mirjana had 73%. That means she will get more fast and easy points. We need to consider which opponents they met so far. Mirjana played a hard-hitter and more rallies were finished in mistakes. Garcia, on the other hand, managed to force Bethanie behind the baseline but that probably won't be the case today since Mirjana attacks faster and has stronger shots than Bethanie. I think the upper hand Lucic has in first serve will alone be enough to make this a close match. I opted for the counter-handicap instead of her win only because of her lack of consistency lately. Garcia got lucky with the draw to record convincingly wins despite not playing very well, but that won't happen against the Croat.