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We more often encounter the term match up in basketball and it clearly means that someone suits someone else, regardless of form, circumstances. In this case we have a clear tennis match up. It is well known that Monaco and Nadal are good friends and they never hid that, but on the court it is a one-way street from start to finish. If we don't count in the forfeit, Rafa's record against Monaco is 6-0. At Roland Garros he limited him to two (!!) games four years ago, to four (!!) in Davis Cup. These are all best-of-five matches. The domination is obvious in the best-of-three matches as well. 10, 8, 11 and last year 7 games lead by Rafa. In the finale, after Monaco defeated Almagro, Cuevas and Mayer. We can say that he was tired, but that has no relevance because he was confident. Strength was never the Argentinian's problem. It's all clear here. Monaco plays similar tennis, but he is much weaker. Most importantly, Rafa dominates him mentally. And while Nadal may not be himself, but we should look back a bit. Last year he claimed he started playing his tennis in Monte Carlo. He wasn't happy here and he won three out of four matches. Monaco has a much better problem. He played only one match since Kitzbuhel, a win over a challenger player. He was never confident against Nadal, and I doubt he will be today. He lost convincingly every time.