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Kamke is still outside the Top 200, but he should take a bigger leap soon. I have been following him over the last months and I waiting for him to gain some momentum. He is still an ATP level player, and the draw opened up for him because top two seeds were eliminated. He did slip up against Mekic last week, but that was his only slip up in 2016. Besides, Mekic caused three back-to-back upsets, and won a set against Mathieu. On the other side, Kamke defeated Struff last week, Lamasine and Olivetti here without losing his serve. This is his third quarter-final in three challengers in 2016. Nedovyesov is far from his best performance and his form has been dropping for a while. He was in the Top 100 only seven months ago, and now he is outside the Top 230. The handicap is set at -3.5 here, Kamke's record this and last season is 25-2 in covering this handicap with wins. That record is 9-1 indoor. Nedovyesov has not covered +3.5 in his last three defeats, all indoor. Fucsovic defeated him by 5 games, Donskoy by 4 and Ymer by 7. None of those players are servers, and neither is Kamke. With that, Nedovyesov has not ben great here either, he barely defeated a lucky loser in the second round. Vatutin only has four challenger wins in his career, and the Russian had 16 break-points against the Kazakh. That tells us enough about his serve right now. Everything points to the fact that Kamke will win here by at least a break per set.