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Tenis » Madrid (M), Clay, 1st Round
OddsStatsTip
02.05.2016. 16:00 Finished
Richard Gasquet - Roberto Carballes Baena (6:1 7:6)
Games handicap -4,5 tip: 1   Seeker
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.75 -5 Pinnacle
Gasquet struggled against Pouille in Monte Carlo and not surprisingly, pulled out of Barcelona. He didn't go to Estoril to defend the title since it didn't fit into his plans. According to the French media, he took a break because the doctors advised him so. I think he's ready now. If so, he is better than Carballes by at lest 6-7 games, regardless of the fact he didn't play since Monte Carlo. Carballes reached main draw through qualifiers here but Estrella had a 7-5, 5-2 lead. He managed to beat the Spaniard on account of fierceness and went on to beat Haase. Two of them are outside of Top 60. Vesely beat Baena by 7 games before this week, Montanes beat him by 6 games. Baena lost the last three clay court challengers as a favorite. He has 4 ATP wins this season, three as a favorite. He stunned Bellucci, who struggled with cramping. Beana got limited to three games against Busta the day later. All of that is realistic since Baena ha no weapons to threaten someone like Gasquet. Cuevas beat him by 4 games, Garcia-Lopez by 8 and Ramos by 8. The Frenchman is better than them all. Gasquet covered this -4,5 in 7 out of 8 matches last season and this season on clay court. He didn't cover it only against Garcia-Lopez. This can go even with one break by set but I expect a convincing win. Not only because Baena was never Top 100 but also because he is limited. Gasquet will take advantage of that. This would be a 10/10 bet if I was 100 percent sure that Gasquet is 100 fit. On the other hand, I would go with the game higher handicap at 2,20 with a big stake too.
Win/loss statistics
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Games total
Games total 1st set
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1st set games handicap
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**There is a chance that the odds shown on this page are not actual odds at this moment, due to a slight delay in processing the odds.

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