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Raonic under 20.5 games on clay? I know, seems like a mistake because the Canadian is a server, but that reputation is the reason he is underestimated in these situations. He defeated Tsonga and Belluci in under 20.5 games, even though they are top players. Dolgopolov took him to the over, but the Canadian made three breaks, while the Ukrainian didn't make a single one. Now let's put Cecchinato into that context. The Italian is a challenger player whose ATP level record is 2-16. Both wins from Bucharest. A flash that did not last long. Delbonis limited him to four games. OK, the Argentinian is a proven clay court player, but only six games against Sijsling is a confirmation of his limits. Let's go further back. Giraldo limited him to four games, but that was the Argentinian's first match after a long break. And we have their head-to-head from Monte Carlo, which finished in the 21st game. That is, for me, another proof that I can expect a convincing win here. That was Raonic's first clay court match of the season and he played bad throughout the tournament. I have no doubt he will save his serve here. He does that against proven ATP players, so I don't see how a challenger player can jeopardize him. As far as the return is concerned, he had 2/6 break points in Monte Carlo, where he did not play well. I expect him to be better at return here and I expect the bet will pass routinely.