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Barty made a comeback after taking a break with personal reasons while Peng underwent back surgery last year. Her performances this season are poor. Also, she said she is still recovering and that she isn't ready for the WTA level and that she doesn't want to risk a new injury. She played ITFs lately. Late last month, she played two weak home tournaments. She lost to Sabalenka by 6 games and to Lu by 3. The odds were below 1,45 in those matches. She also lost sets at tournaments where the odds were 1,11 (Zhao). Let's take a look at her WTA matches this season. She beat Van Uytvanck but she hasn't played since after asking for medical time out in her match and having to have surgery later on. Peng got lucky. She lost by 11 games to Putintseva, by 8 to Niculescu and 9 to Lucic. This is the first grass court match for her this season. Barty has had 10. I don't think that will be a problem because 8 out of her 10 wins were in straight sets. SHe beat Paszek by 7 games here and she has the game for the grass court. The handicap is set at -4,5. That's high but we have a very specific situation here. Barty has the form (9-1 on grass court since 28.05.) while Peng has no form and no matches on this surface. Her motivation is focus on the Olympics. She didn't do much progress at ITF tournaments at local ITF tournaments and didn't even reach semis in the last two. We have players on two very different trajectories here. I've decided to go with the straight sets win even though the -4,5 handicap makes a good choice as well.