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Last season Lee made a jump in her career and made it to Top 250. But the season before that her record was 16-17, so she didn't have too many points to defend. Last year she had 36 wins and thus the jump. But Lee this season has only 16 matches behind her. She had a longer break since mid-February, then one match, then another break which lasted a month. The last match she played was more than two months ago. She lost to players outside of Top 900, before that she tightly beat a player in two sets who was never Top 600. A week before she lost to a player outside of Top 700. Choi, a player outside of Top 350, left her at three games, Lertpitaksinchai (outside of Top 300) beat her with 6-4, 6-3. At odds of 1.02 and 1.12 as the favorite, Lee lost sets. Against a Top 100 player Wang she won four games last year. Four seasons ago Paszek left her here at two games.
This season, against players outside of Top 100, Cepelova's hardcourt record is 10-3. But not a single defeat came from a player outside of Top 150 (Min, Haas, Vickery). In her wins she lost the set three times - Peng, Kania and Tatishvili, but those are names Lee can't even think of. Maybe the best guideline for Lee is the match against Jang last week in Tokyo. Cepelova left her at four games. Besides, Cepelova had 3-0 at the opening, a double break, and then she lost two of her game serves. Earlier in the season Cepelova left Zanvska at four games, Koukalova at three, Cepede at six, Kucova at five, Peer at two, and Lee can't fit with them in the same sentence.
Throughout her career, Lee was crushed by Top 100 players (Paszek, Wang). This all smells like she's here to pick up the check (she got in on a wildcard), to try and do something. But considering Cepelova's rhythm in Tokyo, crushing Jang, beating Nara, this is going to be a one-way street from the start.