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Another season to forget is behind Inter now, one for the management and the fans to call a failure. They ended the last one in 10th position, and will not even manage that this time. They are long out of the title run or at least one of the top four positions they hoped for, they did not do much in the cup either, and now need to watch out for the teams fighting for relegation. They will need another 2-4 points to confirm their first league status. What I cannot understand are the odds for this game, favoring Inter, who are plagued by absences and not doing much better on form either. They have not beaten anyone in five games, including the cup rematch. They are missing their entire last line and some who could be important substitutes in such a situation as well, not to mention forwards Leandro Damiao and Forlan.
One would expect Botafogo to drop from the excellent form they displayed since the start of the calendar year, but they managed to stabilize after a drop in the second half of September. As Goias caught up to them, every point is important in the race for Libertadores, and the slower schedule will come in handy as well, as they no longer need to play twice a week. Their only away defeats this season were vs teams from the upper part of the table or those (Bahia) who were in peak form at the time, a category that does not include the team Inter have today.
There is also no point in invoking the home ground advantage, as Inter have been playing on neutral ground all year long, with 5-6 thousand viewers to be expected at most. I expected the odds for +0.5 to be set on +0, and here we have a 1.90 that the injury plagued Inter will not achieve the biggest victory of the championship as they have so far beaten only teams from the bottom third of the table or those in worst crisis.