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A mere glance at the table would force you to give advantage to any other club over Nauitco - they are officially relegated after winning only 17 points in 32 rounds. They are currently on a 7-game-losing run - all those seven were handicap defeats, and they're in handicap today as well, being forced to do without a few players, five of which had their contracts ended. Among them are the three center backs, which should be visible in the their miserable defense that concedes ridiculous goals. The instability would be even greater because coach Mateotte decided to alter the formation - they are playing with a 3-5-2 formation that the defense line never played in. In fact, two out of the three center backs didn't play almost at all this season - they each played only two games.
Criciuma have to get the points here if they want to stay in the league. Nauitco haven't scored in three out of the four last games, which is good for the visiting team - their defense is the weakest part of the team. The offense usually does its part, which guarantees we'll at least get back what we put into this bet. Trying an option with a higher stake might be good as well. The season already finished for the home team and it's just getting to it's most important part for Cricuima. They already proved they can take advantage of their opponent's problems in the away games (Sao Paolo, Gremio...) They managed to score three goals against Cruizero in the last away game, which is why I believe they can beat Nautico, who will give the chance to their youngsters to prove whom they can count on next season. Criciuma scored as many goals away as Nauitco did in the 32 rounds. Finding the reasons for praising the second worst club in the league is not easy, but the difference in quality and motivation must be enough for the visiting team's win, or at least to get your stake back.