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In terms of standings, going for a -1.5 handicap is not the best solution for teams only 2 points apart but the standings can be deceiving as is the case here where the difference in quality is much higher and I believe Braga will prove this against tonight. Braga's drop in standings is a result of a poor run of games that will probably end tonight, and it should have ended last Saturday against Benfica when they earned more than a minimal draw, but Benfica's keeper and the woodwork got in the way of Braga getting the lead twice. Olhanense barely avoided relegation last season and were on the verge of bankruptcy, but the situation is not much better this season in which they are facing a tough battle for survival as they are one of the weakest and the least efficient teams in the league. And this already weak team was additionally handicapped by the absence of their best players - club captain Rui Duarte and full-back Jander. Instead of giving their youth players a chance they decided to import a few players, and the Italians brought in many players of dubious quality and motivation. They've only scored 5 times in the last 10 round and their lackluster form was reflected in the last game when they were trailing from 18th minute and got their only serious chance in the last minute. The difference between Braga and Olhanense is best reflected in a recent cup game than the current standing. Braga won that away game by 3-1 and Olhanense were forced to chase the results after the first minute and they only got 1 shot on goal. I don't expect them to be any more dangerous tonight and Braga might finally make up for all bad luck from previous games. An alternative would be Braga winning without conceding a goal.