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To begin with, Fribourg have 12 points more than Servette. The home team have 5 wins in regular time in 13 home games, Fribourg have 3 defeats in 12 away games. A few days ago, Fribourg had settled the game by leading 3-0 before going into the final 20 minutes. They relaxed and Servette used this to stage a miraculous comeback. What's important is that forwards Almond (top scorer) and Picard played a huge role in this comeback. The first scored a goal and had two assists, the second scored 2 goals and had an assist. They are not here today like the reliable defender Kamerzin. It is a huge handicap for Servette and I think it changes the distribution of power on the ice. I was thinking whether to go for home team scoring under 2.5 or win no draw, but Fribourg's recent defensive lapses have talked me out of it. They scored 5-6 goals on several occasions and they concede 2-3 without any worry. I would not recommend the final outcome as the home goalie is very good and I wouldn't like to gamble with these 5 minutes. I see Fribourg's advantage in those 60 minutes and not the 5 minute lottery or the penalty shootout.