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Novokuzneck had enough luck to win against Dinamo Moskva and Kazan last week, so you don't think they started to play a brilliant hockey. They were underestimated, and used what was offered, but this home games series showed them where they stand. First Medvescak grounded them with a bang, and Donbass defeated them in the last round, leaving them to only 14 shots. Of course they're the weakest team of the league with only seven wins in 34 games, and they don't have absolutely any ambition. They play hockey without a pressure, combining the team for the next season, so this is an ideal opportunity for Spartak who play very well on this tour. The Muscovites won seven out of nine points so far on this tour, celebrating against a lot stronger opponents than the one today, and they're even bigger favorites in my eyes than the odds would suggest. The biggest reason is hunting for the play-offs, they're only three points away, and every point is important for them, so there are no doubts about their approach here. The coach himself pointed out how important every game is for them, and the hunting for the play-offs zone, so I don't believe they'll have a blunder here, because this is an ideal chance. The home team were defeated in seven out of eight last games, and only managed to defeat the miserable Minsk, so their chances here are minimal. Spartak won in the duel between the two earlier this season in Moscow, they're a far better quality team, better in every segment, and if we add their big motivation to the mix, then this turns to be a great pick in my opinion.