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I wrote about Pistoia's under against Siena in the last round's prediction. It ended with 155 with only 65 points in the second half-time, and that's the real image of what the game looks like when Pistoia are playing. Siena stuffed them in the first half-time, and Varese are far above them so it's difficult to expect the same scenario. They admit it in Pistoia, and they know that they can't win the game offensively, so they point out that the opponent can't go over 70 points if they want to have a chance to win. Their team is full of physically strong Americans who can play an aggressive defense (55-75 Milano, 65-60 Cremona, 56-67 Reggiana). After the first three rounds, they were deeply under in every game (except against Pesaro - 158). Varese are the most uncomfortable surprise of the championship, but nothing is lost yet because they keep the good seventh position. They had a row of seven defeats, and a win against Pesaro was necessary. Frates realized where they were losing their games, in the defense. He only talked about defense before this game, and announced a better game in that segment of the game. For the first time, he said it's more important than the offense, and we should expect a better performance today. Since Pistoia are one of the worst teams offensively, their job might be easier, which finally makes the set margin too high.