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Even if Novokuznjeck hhad their goalie Nika Hovinen at their disposal, this bet wold still make sense, but as the Finnish national team player became the new member f Admiral, a seemingly large 3,5 goal margin is entirely plausible. Dynamo have the third best offense in the league. On Sunday, they put 5 in Amur's net, before that, they scored 3 against Admiral's strong defense and before that they scored 4 goals in three other games. They recently played away in Novokuznjeck and the Muscovites clearly underestimated their opponents and were down by 0-3. They didn't do anything for good 30 minutes and then they got serious and scored 4 goals and won the game. I doubt that coach Znarok will allow for such relaxation. They have recently scored 5 against the best defense in the league, Sibir. Novokuznjeck have so far conceded almost the same amount of goals that Dynamo have scored. This means their defense is very poor. They still haven't won an away game. In their last 5 away games, they conceded 5,5,3,5, and 5, and against teams with weaker offense than Dynamo. On Sunday, they conceded 5 against Torpedo, and the young goalies Ložkin and Sorokin cannot end the game for quite some time. They are both obviously in a crisis which is nothing strange as they are junior players in hockey terms. A handicap win by Dinamo is also an option here, but since it only has any value above -2, an over for the home team is a much better choice considering the situation in the away camp.