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I base this bet on the assumption that Belgorod will not used their strongest squad to the maximum. Coach Shipulin has regularly rested his standard first-team players in the league games this season. After playing an important match against Trentino Thursday in late evening (23:30 in Moscow time zone), they have a huge home derby against Zenit in their Kosmos Arena on Tuesday. Even though Belgorod have recently won the cup game by 3-0, both tams agreed this was nowhere near Zenit's best performance. So, we can expect the team from Kazan to put up a stronger resistance then.
The away coach has made some changes in Trento after securing the Final Four. They used the reserve squad in the last two matches and they had to save points against one of the worst teams in the league - Yaroslavich and young Perm team.
On the other hand, the home team are a strong team consisting of Ukrainian national team players, reinforced with Georgi Bratoev. They have a run of three wins and have only had two defeats at home this season. They're well organized and are a tough opponent for anyone. After huge battles and fives sets, they defeated Dynamo Moscow and Fenerbahce at home. The arena in Kharkiv will surely be full for such an attractive opposition and that is always an additional motivation. It seems that we will not see a three-set game as the bookies predict. I repeat, it's hard to see the away coach to force their strongest squad throughout the entire match. This will be their fourth game in February and the have two more rounds to play until the end of the month In this case, the home team are definitely capable of taking a set. I will go with a moderate stake as there are no reliable information about the squads.