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Basketball » Czech Republic 1 (M), 9. round
OddsStatsTip
30.03.2014. 19:00 Finished
Olomoucko - CEZ Nymburk (66:82)
Handicap (OT incl.) +18.5 tip: 1   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 4/10 1.70 15.5 Bet365
I have spent a lot of time deciding on this bet for one reason only - opting for a bet against Nymburk in the Czech league is not easy. However, I think Prostejov is highly underestimated here. Nymburk played in Ostrava a few days ago, we suggested a handicap then, but Nymburk didn't display too much will for destroying the opponent and in the end the point difference was only 16 points. First thing Nymburk need for beating Prostejov miserably is an extreme motivation, without it even the win could be at risk. The motivation in Opava was off and Nymburk were as a result down for three quarters and managed to save themselves from a defeat only in the last one. That kind of approach will not do here. It is expected the players to be more motivated against Prostejov, but not even that will probably be enough. Prostejov are in great form this season, they seem to be even better than in the last season, especially their front court which was the weakest link last year. They lost only once home - by four points to Decin a long time ago. They destroyed the three rivals for the play off in the last 20 days: Padrubice by 26, Decin by 27, and Opava by 29 points. A lot of teams lose the games against Nymburk before even stepping on the court, but not Prostejov. They honestly believe they can beat them, they've done it in the last seasons. Sincerely, I don't know what the bookmakers are relying on for this handicap, we had a 14,5 ahead of Nymburkov's away game in Padrubice and Decin earlier in the season, and Prostejov are much stronger. Nymburk have not covered this handicap in neither of those games, just like they didn't cover it in Opava and Ostrava in the last 10 days. Nymburk are now, that the international competitions are over, much more dangerous, they can beat any team in the Czch Republic, but the realistic handicap here is not over 15 points, I think. Prostejov are doing brilliantly home, they believe they can win here, and have nothing to stress about. They lost by 6 points the first game in Nymburk, the cup final by 24 points, but they proved they can handle Nymburk just fine in the second half time of that game. The arena will be packed, and I believe we could see an interesting game, and I simply can't miss on these 18,5 points, no matter the respect I have for Nymburk.
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