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Basketball » France 1 (M), 24. round
OddsStatsTip
22.03.2014. 20:00 Finished
Le Havre - Roanne (80:74)
Away team total points 70,5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.85 5/10 1.60 69 William Hill
This match is really important - the winner will take a huge step towards staying in the league, and the loser will drop into an abyss they'll hardly be able to get out of. Le Havre insisted on the better defense after the Leader's Cup finals, limited Nanterre and Orleans under 70 points in front of their own fans, and after 96 in Strasbourg, they'll rely on that segment again. Roanne are a typical defensive team, lacking offensive potential and players who can decide the match with over 20 points. They conceded 91 and 100 points in the last matches, and were convincingly defeated. Pavicevic clearly states they can't be winning like that and they have to go back to their own game style. It's clear, Roanne have the worst offensive effect in the league with 68.0 points per match. If they want to win here, they have to rely on the defense, and definitely not offense. I've been dwelling between the under total and guests' under, and even though both options are good, I finally decided for the second option, guest team's under. Roanne have 0-11 in the away championship matches, while on the other hand, Le Havre play a lot better at home. Except for the last two matches where they limited a lot more potent teams to low points, ASVEL were left at 71 here, Le Mans at 62, Dijon at 59, all teams really strong defensively, but with more of the offensive potential than Roanne. The importance of this match should also work for this bet, as should the fact that Roanne went over this margin in only 4 out of 11 matches, none of those times over 77 points.
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