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Basketball » France 1 (M), 24. round
OddsStatsTip
25.03.2014. 19:00 Finished
Pau Orthez - Strasbourg (79:94)
Away team total points (OT incl.) 78.5 tip: Under   Goran
Odds Stake Min. odds Last margin Bookmaker
1.90 5/10 1.70 76.5 Marathon bet
Even though I respect Strasbourg and Collet's squad, and I even think they can win this one, I think the margin set here is too high. Collet only has 9 players at his disposal, and the departures of Greeer and Ajinca were a huge handicap for their offense and it's never easy to play away in the French league. They have to win this through defense and Collet is aware of that. In the first part of the season, they crushed Pau Orthez by 30 points but they still scored only 73 points. This is the crucial game for the home team and Bergaud said that the play-offs have started early so I expect a huge battle. True, Pau may not have the best defense in the league, but they have improved it in a great run of wins and have not allowed more points than stated by this margin in last 8 games. Looking at the home games throughout the season, they've allowed more points than this margin only three times, twice at the start of the season and against Chalon, who are the best team in the league by far. On the other hand, Strasbourg have gone over this margin in all competitions this season (Euroleague and Eurocup included) only twice - against ASVEL and in Kragujevac agianst a team that likes a faster-paced games. All games included, Strasbourg have gone over this margin in 9 out of 42 games and in 5 out of 23 in the league. A total under is also a good option but this is a tad better.
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